Mexico’s Economic Struggles: Recession Risks and Trade Tensions

In today's episode, we delve into Mexico's looming economic challenges as Fitch Ratings predicts a GDP contraction for 2025. We explore the impact of U.S. trade tensions and the Mexican government's fiscal strategies. Despite some positive indicators like stable inflation and exchange rates, the threat of recession remains. Join us as we analyze the factors influencing Mexico's economic outlook and the potential for recovery in 2026.

Sources:
https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2679639-risks-rising-for-possible-recession-in-mexico-analysts
https://mexicobusiness.news/finance/news/mexico-lowers-growth-forecast-amid-trade-uncertainty
https://mexiconewsdaily.com/business/trumps-tariff-mexicos-economy-part-3needs-a-rethink-a-perspective-from-our-ceo-part-3/
https://www.latinnews.com/component/k2/item/105420.html?archive=3&Itemid=6&cat_id=836243%3Ain-brief-fitch-affirms-mexico-s-stable-outlook-but-notes-risks
https://macroattachment.cloud.itau.com.br/attachments/2b44fe9f-d2ab-42fa-b591-0bfe1fba35d7/MacroScenario-MX_Apr25.pdf
https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-6-764768-20250417
https://www.raymondjames.com/-/media/rj/dotcom/files/wealth-management/market-commentary-and-insights/investment-strategy/weekly-headings.pdf?la=en
https://tradingeconomics.com/mexico/industrial-production
https://enrichedthinking.scotiawealthmanagement.com/2025/04/15/full-report-bamboozled-tariffs-twists-and-policy-shifts/
https://www.monex.com.mx/portal/download/reportes/Economic%20Forecasts%20110425.pdf